Risk Forecasting and Scenario Analysis - 7.ed.

Risk factors arising from political, security and economic actions, events or phenomena have an increasing weight in defining the risk map of political actors and companies operating on an international scale. Unforeseen changes related to economic or security events, government policy choices, and shocks in the national or international political arena are of increasing concern and require in-depth analysis, not only from an emergency perspective, but also from a forecasting perspective.

This explains the growing demand for professionals as risk experts from the financial, corporate, governmental and humanitarian worlds, but also the more general revaluation of intellectual knowledge related to risk scenario assessment. This course provides useful tools to understand how government decisions, political events of local or global scope, macrotrends of different nature (cultural, social, technological) may affect future geopolitical balances, also illustrating the tools that public and private actors have to foresee and prepare for these risks.

The course is aimed at students, recent graduates and professionals with a background in social sciences (Political Science, Economics, Law) and a specific interest in scenario analysis and forecasting and foresight techniques. It will take place on 20, 21, 25, 26, 28, 29 September 2023 in Italian, with the possibility of some modules in English, in online mode. Assistance and tutoring will be provided to participants for laboratory activities and for the preparation of exercise papers.

The course is limited to a maximum number of 20. The Institute reserves the right to postpone the course if the minimum number of participants is not reached.

In order to take part in the course, it is necessary to fill in the on-line registration form, attaching a curriculum vitae.

The registration fee is € 399.00 (VAT included).

For IAI Junior Members and Lazio Youth Card holders there is a 10% discount. For Employees of the Ministry of Defence or by submitting an "Early Application" to the courses that make up the Advanced Certificates of the I and II Semesters, there is the possibility of a 15% discount on the total fee, against immediate enrolment to be paid in a single payment.

Thanks to the contribution of the Compagnia di San Paolo Foundation, two scholarships are also available for income and merit, covering the entire registration fee. Please refer to the regulations for all details on how to apply for and receive the scholarships. To apply for the scholarship, please complete online form at this link.

The Risk Forecasting and Scenario Analysis course is part of the Advanced Certificate in 'International Policy Analyst' and the Advanced Certificate for 'International Careers'.

Info and contacts: edu(at)iai.it.