NATO’s Future

Arms control, disarmament and non-proliferation efforts are not dead, but need an adaptive and enhanced Nato playing a role for innovation in the ADN area. NATO’s evolution will depend on its ability to face an increasingly competitive international environment, in which global and regional powers engage in proxy wars, cyber-attacks, information warfare and threats to rivals’ critical infrastructure, energy security, political decision-making and public opinion. Public support for this kind of adaptation will be paramount. While US lingering commitment to the alliance is critical, domestic developments in Europe will be important too, as EU governments will struggle to reconcile conflicting trends towards national solutions, greater European independence and a renewed commitment to the Atlantic bond.